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The Bond Market Compass. Navigate Fixed Income, Capture Stable Value.
Category: Uncategorized
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UST yields rose sharply, with 10s +7bp to 4.24% amid Trump tariff threats on Greenland, sparking risk-off flows. 2s10s curve steepened 2bp, 5s30s unchanged; moves followed recent Beige Book noting modest growth and stable labor, ahead of any fresh data prints. US equities plunged (Dow -870pts/-1.8%, S&P -2.1%, Nasdaq -2.4%), HY spreads +5bp to 265bp,…
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UST yields edged higher across the curve amid resilient labor data and tempered Fed cut expectations. The 10Y yield climbed 3bp to 4.17%, while 2Y advanced 5bp to 3.57%; 30Y held steady near 4.80%. IG corporate OAS tightened marginally to 77bp, reflecting robust demand despite heavy issuance, with HY spreads stable. Curve steepened slightly as…
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UST curve bull-flattened modestly as short-end yields edged higher amid mixed economic signals, while 10Y held steady near 4.18% before ticking up to 4.186% late session. 2Y yield climbed +5bp to 3.54% from 3.49%, reflecting persistent front-end pressure from Fed policy bets, with 3Y at 3.56% up +3bp. IG corporate spreads tightened to 74bps OAS,…
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UST curve flattened mildly as 2Y yield rose 2bp to 4.25% amid resilient economic data while 10Y held steady at 4.17% post modest overnight gains. IG spreads tightened 3bp to 95bp on sustained demand, with HY OAS narrowing 3bp to 2.76% reflecting low default risk and technical buying. MBS outperformed amid softer JOLTS figures signaling…
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UST curve steepened mildly, with 2Y yield climbing 1.45bp to 3.47% and 3Y up 0.28bp to 3.525%, while 10Y dipped 2.16bp to 4.147% and 30Y fell 3.17bp to 4.829%. Short-end pressure stemmed from resilient employment data offsetting soft-landing bets, keeping front-end yields elevated amid sticky inflation risks tied to tariffs and fiscal expansion under current…
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UST yields edged higher amid stable risk sentiment, with 10Y closing at 4.19% after a 2bp rise from 4.17% prior session. 2Y yield ticked up 1bp to 3.48%, while 3Y held near 3.55%, keeping curve steepening intact. IG credit spreads steady at 79bp OAS, near historic tights on robust fundamentals. HY BB OAS tightened 2bp…
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UST curve bull-flattened mildly as 10Y yield eased 3bp to 4.17% amid thin liquidity, while 2Y held steady near 3.47% on resilient short-end demand. IG corp spreads unchanged at 1.01% for BBB, reflecting tight credit conditions and year-end positioning unwind. HY OAS ticked up 2bp to 2.83% on Jan 2, signaling minor risk repricing post-holidays.…
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Wishing everyone a Happy New Year 2026. May your trades be smooth, your risk well-managed, and your P&L hit new highs in the year ahead. Global fixed income delivered solid positive returns in 2025, driven by high starting yields, moderate disinflation and a late-year shift toward easier central bank policy. 10Y UST finished the year…
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UST 10Y yield edged up 3bp to 4.15%, reflecting hawkish Fed signals amid resilient US data, while 2Y held at 3.48% with weekly drop of 4bp on rate cut hopes. Curve steepened slightly as short-end stabilized post-FOMC minutes, IG credit spreads tightened 1bp to 95bp, buoyed by strong corporate earnings. EM hard currency bonds outperformed,…
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UST benchmarks edged lower amid mixed economic signals and positioning ahead of year-end. 10Y yield dipped 2bp to 4.13% from 4.15%, while 2Y fell 3bp to 3.46% and 3Y eased to 3.50%. Curve steepened slightly with 10Y-2Y spread widening to 67bp, reflecting hawkish Fed guidance post recent 25bp cut. IG corporate spreads held steady near…